Breakthroughs In Decision Science And Risk Analysis

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Breakthroughs in Decision Science and Risk Analysis

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Author by : Louis A. Cox
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 328
Isbn : 1118217160
Identifier : 9781118217160
Release : 2015-03-30
Publisher by : John Wiley & Sons
Category : Business & Economics
Total Download : 3416624
Total Read : 2178914
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Description : Read Now Breakthroughs In Decision Science And Risk Analysis by Louis A. Cox and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. discover recent powerful advances in the theory, methods, and applications of decision and risk analysis focusing on recent advances and innovations in the field of decision analysis (da), breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis presents theories and methods for making, improving, and learning from significant practical decisions. the book explains these new methods and important applications in an easily accessible and stimulating style for readers from multiple backgrounds, including psychology, economics, statistics, engineering, risk analysis, operations research, and management science. emphasizing topics not traditionally found in da literature, the book illustrates genuine advances in practical decision science and includes developments and trends that depart from, or break with, the standard axiomatic da paradigm in fundamental and useful ways. the book features methods for coping with realistic decision-making challenges, including online adaptive learning algorithms, innovations in robust decision-making, and the use of a variety of models to provide more-or-less plausible explanations for available data and recommended actions. in addition, the book illustrates how these techniques can be applied to dramatically improve risk management decisions. breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis also includes: an emphasis on new approaches rather than classical and traditional ideas discussions of how decision and risk analysis can be applied to improve high-stakes policy and management decisions coverage of the potential value and realism of decision science within applications in financial, health, safety, environmental, business, engineering, and security risk management innovative methods for deciding what to do when decision problems are not completely known or described or when useful probabilities cannot be specified recent breakthroughs in the psychology and brain science of risky decisions, mathematical foundations and techniques, and integration with learning and pattern recognition methods from computational intelligence breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis is an ideal reference for researchers, consultants, and practitioners in the fields of decision science, operations research, business, management science, engineering, statistics, and mathematics. the book is also an appropriate guide for managers, analysts, and decision and policy makers in the areas of finance, health and safety, environment, business, engineering, and security risk management. louis anthony (tony) cox, jr. phd, is chief sciences officer of nexthealth technologies, a denver-based health care advanced analytics software company and president of cox associates, inc., a denver-based applied research company specializing in quantitative health risk assessment, risk analysis, causal modeling, and operations research. dr. cox is also clinical professor of biostatistics and informatics at the university of colorado at denver, a member of the national academy of engineering, and editor-in-chief of risk analysis: an international journal.

Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry A Practical Guide, Second Edition

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Author by : Glenn Koller
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 352
Isbn : 1420035053
Identifier : 9781420035056
Release : 2005-03-30
Publisher by : CRC Press
Category : Mathematics
Total Download : 1792562
Total Read : 2309597
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Description : Read Now Risk Assessment And Decision Making In Business And Industry by Glenn Koller and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. building upon the technical and organizational groundwork presented in the first edition, risk assessment and decision making in business and industry: a practical guide, second edition addresses the many aspects of risk/uncertainty (r/u) process implementation. this comprehensive volume covers four broad aspects of r/u: general concepts, implementation processes, technical aspects, and examples of application. each section provides practical guidance, combining technical information with advice on how to implement r/u techniques and processes in real-world corporate environments. following an examination of general principles involved in quantitatively assessing risks and their impact on value, the book describes the two main probabilistic measures of project value - expected value of success (evs) and the expected value for the portfolio (evp). the text clearly demonstrates how these metrics are used in individual-project and portfolio management. by presenting concepts in layman's terms and fully integrating advice related to technical and human characteristics of r/u-related corporate life, this book serves as a complete primer for professionals in any business environment. what's new in the second edition: provides guidance for implementation of r/u processes in modern corporations offers a crucial breakthrough by defining the terms "risk" and "uncertainty" in ways that can be applied in all aspects of science and business explores real-world impediments to process change and implementation addresses r/u from a corporate decision-maker's perspective, detailing how to employ r/u to set budgets, manage portfolios, value investments, and execute other critical tasks

Risk and Contingency Management: Breakthroughs in Research and Practice Breakthroughs in Research and Practice

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Author by : Management Association, Information Resources
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 472
Isbn : 1522539336
Identifier : 9781522539339
Release : 2017-12-01
Publisher by : IGI Global
Category : Business & Economics
Total Download : 8400316
Total Read : 8728013
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Description : Read Now Risk And Contingency Management Breakthroughs In Research And Practice by Management Association, Information Resources and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. in business, mistakes and errors will inevitably occur. as such, organizations must be constantly alert and ready to meet challenges head-on. risk and contingency management: breakthroughs in research and practice is a comprehensive reference source for the latest scholarly material on trends and techniques for the prediction and evaluation of financial risks and how to diminish their effect. highlighting a range of pertinent topics such as project management, risk auditing and reporting, and resource management, this multi-volume book is ideally designed for researchers, academics, professionals, managers, students, and practitioners interested in risk and contingency management.

Decision Science and Social Risk Management A Comparative Evaluation of Cost-Benefit Analysis, Decision Analysis, and Other Formal Decision-Aiding Approaches

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Author by : M.W Merkhofer
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 330
Isbn : 9400946988
Identifier : 9789400946989
Release : 2012-12-06
Publisher by : Springer Science & Business Media
Category : Technology & Engineering
Total Download : 8636700
Total Read : 3512523
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Description : Read Now Decision Science And Social Risk Management by M.W Merkhofer and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. economists, decision analysts, management scientists, and others have long argued that government should take a more scientific approach to decision making. pointing to various theories for prescribing and rational izing choices, they have maintained that social goals could be achieved more effectively and at lower costs if government decisions were routinely subjected to analysis. now, government policy makers are putting decision science to the test. recent government actions encourage and in some cases require government decisions to be evaluated using formally defined principles 01' rationality. will decision science pass tbis test? the answer depends on whether analysts can quickly and successfully translate their theories into practical approaches and whether these approaches promote the solution of the complex, highly uncertain, and politically sensitive problems that are of greatest concern to government decision makers. the future of decision science, perhaps even the nation's well-being, depends on the outcome. a major difficulty for the analysts who are being called upon by government to apply decision-aiding approaches is that decision science has not yet evolved a universally accepted methodology for analyzing social decisions involving risk. numerous approaches have been proposed, including variations of cost-benefit analysis, decision analysis, and applied social welfare theory. each of these, however, has its limitations and deficiencies and none has a proven track record for application to govern ment decisions involving risk. cost-benefit approaches have been exten sively applied by the government, but most applications have been for decisions that were largely risk-free.

Science and Decisions Advancing Risk Assessment

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Author by : National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology, Committee on Improving Risk Analysis Approaches Used by the U.S. EPA
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 422
Isbn : 0309120462
Identifier : 9780309120463
Release : 2009-03-24
Publisher by : National Academies Press
Category : Political Science
Total Download : 1907302
Total Read : 2392543
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Description : Read Now Science And Decisions by National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology, Committee on Improving Risk Analysis Approaches Used by the U.S. EPA and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. risk assessment has become a dominant public policy tool for making choices, based on limited resources, to protect public health and the environment. it has been instrumental to the mission of the u.s. environmental protection agency (epa) as well as other federal agencies in evaluating public health concerns, informing regulatory and technological decisions, prioritizing research needs and funding, and in developing approaches for cost-benefit analysis. however, risk assessment is at a crossroads. despite advances in the field, risk assessment faces a number of significant challenges including lengthy delays in making complex decisions; lack of data leading to significant uncertainty in risk assessments; and many chemicals in the marketplace that have not been evaluated and emerging agents requiring assessment. science and decisions makes practical scientific and technical recommendations to address these challenges. this book is a complement to the widely used 1983 national academies book, risk assessment in the federal government (also known as the red book). the earlier book established a framework for the concepts and conduct of risk assessment that has been adopted by numerous expert committees, regulatory agencies, and public health institutions. the new book embeds these concepts within a broader framework for risk-based decision-making. together, these are essential references for those working in the regulatory and public health fields.

The Risks of Prescription Drugs

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Author by : Donald Light
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 167
Isbn : 0231146922
Identifier : 9780231146920
Release : 2010
Publisher by : Columbia University Press
Category : Business & Economics
Total Download : 6822466
Total Read : 8606139
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Description : Read Now The Risks Of Prescription Drugs by Donald Light and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. raises key questions about topics in the pharmaceutical industry, including how the risks of side effects are weighed, if privatization of that risk is prudent, and the high prices for drugs.

Understanding Risk Informing Decisions in a Democratic Society

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Author by : National Research Council, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Board on Environmental Change and Society, Committee on Risk Characterization
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 264
Isbn : 0309133246
Identifier : 9780309133241
Release : 1996-06-05
Publisher by : National Academies Press
Category : Political Science
Total Download : 4829132
Total Read : 8305053
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Description : Read Now Understanding Risk by National Research Council, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Board on Environmental Change and Society, Committee on Risk Characterization and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. understanding risk addresses a central dilemma of risk decisionmaking in a democracy: detailed scientific and technical information is essential for making decisions, but the people who make and live with those decisions are not scientists. the key task of risk characterization is to provide needed and appropriate information to decisionmakers and the public. this important new volume illustrates that making risks understandable to the public involves much more than translating scientific knowledge. the volume also draws conclusions about what society should expect from risk characterization and offers clear guidelines and principles for informing the wide variety of risk decisions that face our increasingly technological society. understanding risk frames fundamental questions about what risk characterization means. reviews traditional definitions and explores new conceptual and practical approaches. explores how risk characterization should inform decisionmakers and the public. looks at risk characterization in the context of the entire decisionmaking process. understanding risk discusses how risk characterization has fallen short in many recent controversial decisions. throughout the text, examples and case studies--such as planning for the long-term ecological health of the everglades or deciding on the operation of a waste incinerator--bring key concepts to life. understanding risk will be important to anyone involved in risk issues: federal, state, and local policymakers and regulators; risk managers; scientists; industrialists; researchers; and concerned individuals.

Intelligent Systems and Decision Making for Risk Analysis and Crisis Response Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response, Istanbul, Turkey, 27-29 August 2013

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Author by : Chongfu Huang, Cengiz Kahraman
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 950
Isbn : 0203771478
Identifier : 9780203771471
Release : 2013-07-25
Publisher by : CRC Press
Category : Computers
Total Download : 4064236
Total Read : 2106606
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Description : Read Now Intelligent Systems And Decision Making For Risk Analysis And Crisis Response by Chongfu Huang, Cengiz Kahraman and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. in this present internet age, risk analysis and crisis response based on information will make up a digital world full of possibilities and improvements to people’s daily life and capabilities. these services will be supported by more intelligent systems and more effective decisionmaking. this book contains all the papers presented at the 4th international conference on risk analysis and crisis response, august 27-29, 2013, istanbul, turkey. the theme was intelligent systems and decision making for risk analysis and crisis response. the risk issues in the papers cluster around the following topics: natural disasters, finance risks, food and feed safety, catastrophic accidents, critical infrastructure, global climate change, project management, supply chains, public health, threats to social safety, energy and environment. this volume will be of interest to all professionals and academics in the field of risk analysis, crisis response, intelligent systems and decision-making, as well as related fields of enquiry.

Beyond HR The New Science of Human Capital

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Author by : John W. Boudreau, Peter M. Ramstad
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 258
Isbn : 1422148130
Identifier : 9781422148136
Release : 2007-06-19
Publisher by : Harvard Business Press
Category : Business & Economics
Total Download : 1208056
Total Read : 8474240
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Description : Read Now Beyond Hr by John W. Boudreau, Peter M. Ramstad and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. is your talent strategy a unique competitive advantage? as competition for top talent increases, companies must recognize that decisions about talent and its organization can have a significant strategic impact. beyond hr shows how organizations can uncover distinctive talent contributions, strategically differentiate their hr practices and metrics, and more optimally allocate talent to create value. illustrations from companies such as disney, boeing, and corning describe a new decision science called talentship, that reveals opportunities by identifying strategy pivot points and the optimal talent and organization decisions that address them. a unique framework helps readers identify their own distinctive strategic pivot points and connect them to talent decisions, showing how today’s “hr” can evolve to fulfill its potential as a source of strategic advantage.

Decisions, Uncertainty, and the Brain The Science of Neuroeconomics

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Author by : Paul W. Glimcher
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 375
Isbn : 9780262572279
Identifier : 0262572273
Release : 2004
Publisher by : MIT Press
Category : Business & Economics
Total Download : 3915301
Total Read : 2825988
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Description : Read Now Decisions Uncertainty And The Brain by Paul W. Glimcher and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. an original argument for abandoning classical cartesian dualism in favor of a model of brain and behavior based on classical microeconomics theory.

International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management

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Author by :
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page :
Isbn :
Identifier : STANFORD:36105131886678
Release : 2007
Publisher by :
Category : Risk management
Total Download : 4224827
Total Read : 3792691
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Causal Analytics for Applied Risk Analysis

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Author by : Louis Anthony Cox Jr., Douglas A. Popken, Richard X. Sun
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 588
Isbn : 3319782428
Identifier : 9783319782423
Release : 2018-06-19
Publisher by : Springer
Category : Business & Economics
Total Download : 5671930
Total Read : 1714879
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Description : Read Now Causal Analytics For Applied Risk Analysis by Louis Anthony Cox Jr., Douglas A. Popken, Richard X. Sun and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. causal analytics methods can revolutionize the use of data to make effective decisions by revealing how different choices affect probabilities of various outcomes. this book presents and illustrates models, algorithms, principles, and software for deriving causal models from data and for using them to optimize decisions with uncertain outcomes. it discusses how to describe and summarize situations; detect changes; evaluate effects of policies or interventions; learn what works best under different conditions; predict values of as-yet unobserved quantities from available data; and identify the most likely explanations for observed outcomes, including surprises and anomalies. the book resents practical techniques for causal modeling and analytics that practitioners can apply to improve understanding of how choices affect probabilities of consequences and, based on this understanding, to recommend choices that are more likely to accomplish their intended objectives.the book begins with a survey of modern analytics methods, focusing mainly on techniques useful for decision, risk, and policy analysis. chapter 2 introduces free in-browser software, including the causal analytics toolkit (cat) software, to enable readers to perform the analyses described and to apply modern analytics methods easily to their own data sets. chapters 3 through 11 show how to apply causal analytics and risk analytics to practical risk analysis challenges, mainly related to public and occupational health risks from pathogens in food or from pollutants in air. chapters 12 through 15 turn to broader questions of how to improve risk management decision-making by individuals, groups, organizations, institutions, and multi-generation societies with different cultures and norms for cooperation. these chapters examine organizational learning, community resilience, societal risk management, and intergenerational collaboration and justice in managing risks.

Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment A Call for Change

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Author by : National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Life Sciences, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications, Committee on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Agent Risk Analysis
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 172
Isbn : 0309120284
Identifier : 9780309120289
Release : 2009-01-03
Publisher by : National Academies Press
Category : Political Science
Total Download : 6581662
Total Read : 3422160
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Description : Read Now Department Of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment by National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Life Sciences, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications, Committee on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Agent Risk Analysis and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. the mission of department of homeland security bioterrorism risk assessment: a call for change, the book published in december 2008, is to independently and scientifically review the methodology that led to the 2006 department of homeland security report, bioterrorism risk assessment (btra) and provide a foundation for future updates. this book identifies a number of fundamental concerns with the btra of 2006, ranging from mathematical and statistical mistakes that have corrupted results, to unnecessarily complicated probability models and models with fidelity far exceeding existing data, to more basic questions about how terrorist behavior should be modeled. rather than merely criticizing what was done in the btra of 2006, this new nrc book consults outside experts and collects a number of proposed alternatives that could improve dhs's ability to assess potential terrorist behavior as a key element of risk-informed decision making, and it explains these alternatives in the specific context of the btra and the bioterrorism threat.

Breakthrough Discoveries in Information Technology Research: Advancing Trends Advancing Trends

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Author by : Khosrow-Pour, Mehdi
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 288
Isbn : 1605669679
Identifier : 9781605669670
Release : 2009-11-30
Publisher by : IGI Global
Category : Computers
Total Download : 274505
Total Read : 452430
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Description : Read Now Breakthrough Discoveries In Information Technology Research Advancing Trends by Khosrow-Pour, Mehdi and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. "this book informs researchers and practitioners of novel and emerging research in information science and technology, allowing for the discussion and dissemination of critical concepts that will promote further study and innovation"--provided by publisher.

Public Participation in Environmental Assessment and Decision Making

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Author by : National Research Council, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Panel on Public Participation in Environmental Assessment and Decision Making
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 322
Isbn : 9780309134415
Identifier : 0309134412
Release : 2008-11-07
Publisher by : National Academies Press
Category : Political Science
Total Download : 7222384
Total Read : 7638987
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Description : Read Now Public Participation In Environmental Assessment And Decision Making by National Research Council, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Panel on Public Participation in Environmental Assessment and Decision Making and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. federal agencies have taken steps to include the public in a wide range of environmental decisions. although some form of public participation is often required by law, agencies usually have broad discretion about the extent of that involvement. approaches vary widely, from holding public information-gathering meetings to forming advisory groups to actively including citizens in making and implementing decisions. proponents of public participation argue that those who must live with the outcome of an environmental decision should have some influence on it. critics maintain that public participation slows decision making and can lower its quality by including people unfamiliar with the science involved. this book concludes that, when done correctly, public participation improves the quality of federal agencies' decisions about the environment. well-managed public involvement also increases the legitimacy of decisions in the eyes of those affected by them, which makes it more likely that the decisions will be implemented effectively. this book recommends that agencies recognize public participation as valuable to their objectives, not just as a formality required by the law. it details principles and approaches agencies can use to successfully involve the public.

Stem Cell Century Law and Policy for a Breakthrough Technology

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Author by : Russell Korobkin, Stephen R. Munzer
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 322
Isbn : 9780300122923
Identifier : 0300122926
Release : 2007
Publisher by : Yale University Press
Category : Law
Total Download : 8635761
Total Read : 4865700
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Description : Read Now Stem Cell Century by Russell Korobkin, Stephen R. Munzer and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. "stem cell century provides a very clear analysis of the policy issues around cloning and stem cells in biomedicine, on the basis of a sound scientific understanding of the underlying biology." ian wilmut, director, edinburgh university centre for regenerative medicine, and creator of "dolly" the lamb, the world's first cloned mammal. from the bookjacket.