Causal Analytics For Applied Risk Analysis

Download Causal Analytics For Applied Risk Analysis Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File with Free Account at yesterdays we have And Elements of Christian theology: containing proofs of the authenticity ... of the holy scriptures ... Fourth edition And Elusive Moose And Hidden Figures The American Dream and the Untold Story of the Black Women Mathematicians Who Helped Win the Space Race

Causal Analytics for Applied Risk Analysis

Download Causal Analytics For Applied Risk Analysis Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File

Author by : Louis Anthony Cox Jr.
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 588
Isbn : 3319782428
Identifier : 9783319782423
Release : 2018-06-19
Publisher by : Springer
Category : Business & Economics
Ads
Description : Read Now Causal Analytics For Applied Risk Analysis by Louis Anthony Cox Jr. and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. causal analytics methods can revolutionize the use of data to make effective decisions by revealing how different choices affect probabilities of various outcomes. this book presents and illustrates models, algorithms, principles, and software for deriving causal models from data and for using them to optimize decisions with uncertain outcomes. it discusses how to describe and summarize situations; detect changes; evaluate effects of policies or interventions; learn what works best under different conditions; predict values of as-yet unobserved quantities from available data; and identify the most likely explanations for observed outcomes, including surprises and anomalies. the book resents practical techniques for causal modeling and analytics that practitioners can apply to improve understanding of how choices affect probabilities of consequences and, based on this understanding, to recommend choices that are more likely to accomplish their intended objectives.the book begins with a survey of modern analytics methods, focusing mainly on techniques useful for decision, risk, and policy analysis. chapter 2 introduces free in-browser software, including the causal analytics toolkit (cat) software, to enable readers to perform the analyses described and to apply modern analytics methods easily to their own data sets. chapters 3 through 11 show how to apply causal analytics and risk analytics to practical risk analysis challenges, mainly related to public and occupational health risks from pathogens in food or from pollutants in air. chapters 12 through 15 turn to broader questions of how to improve risk management decision-making by individuals, groups, organizations, institutions, and multi-generation societies with different cultures and norms for cooperation. these chapters examine organizational learning, community resilience, societal risk management, and intergenerational collaboration and justice in managing risks.

Breakthroughs in Decision Science and Risk Analysis

Download Breakthroughs In Decision Science And Risk Analysis Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File

Author by : Louis A. Cox
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 328
Isbn : 1118217160
Identifier : 9781118217160
Release : 2015-03-30
Publisher by : John Wiley & Sons
Category : Business & Economics
Ads
Description : Read Now Breakthroughs In Decision Science And Risk Analysis by Louis A. Cox and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. discover recent powerful advances in the theory, methods, and applications of decision and risk analysis focusing on recent advances and innovations in the field of decision analysis (da), breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis presents theories and methods for making, improving, and learning from significant practical decisions. the book explains these new methods and important applications in an easily accessible and stimulating style for readers from multiple backgrounds, including psychology, economics, statistics, engineering, risk analysis, operations research, and management science. emphasizing topics not traditionally found in da literature, the book illustrates genuine advances in practical decision science and includes developments and trends that depart from, or break with, the standard axiomatic da paradigm in fundamental and useful ways. the book features methods for coping with realistic decision-making challenges, including online adaptive learning algorithms, innovations in robust decision-making, and the use of a variety of models to provide more-or-less plausible explanations for available data and recommended actions. in addition, the book illustrates how these techniques can be applied to dramatically improve risk management decisions. breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis also includes: an emphasis on new approaches rather than classical and traditional ideas discussions of how decision and risk analysis can be applied to improve high-stakes policy and management decisions coverage of the potential value and realism of decision science within applications in financial, health, safety, environmental, business, engineering, and security risk management innovative methods for deciding what to do when decision problems are not completely known or described or when useful probabilities cannot be specified recent breakthroughs in the psychology and brain science of risky decisions, mathematical foundations and techniques, and integration with learning and pattern recognition methods from computational intelligence breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis is an ideal reference for researchers, consultants, and practitioners in the fields of decision science, operations research, business, management science, engineering, statistics, and mathematics. the book is also an appropriate guide for managers, analysts, and decision and policy makers in the areas of finance, health and safety, environment, business, engineering, and security risk management. louis anthony (tony) cox, jr. phd, is chief sciences officer of nexthealth technologies, a denver-based health care advanced analytics software company and president of cox associates, inc., a denver-based applied research company specializing in quantitative health risk assessment, risk analysis, causal modeling, and operations research. dr. cox is also clinical professor of biostatistics and informatics at the university of colorado at denver, a member of the national academy of engineering, and editor-in-chief of risk analysis: an international journal.

Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks

Download Risk Assessment And Decision Analysis With Bayesian Networks Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File

Author by : Norman Fenton
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 524
Isbn : 1439809119
Identifier : 9781439809112
Release : 2012-11-07
Publisher by : CRC Press
Category : Business & Economics
Ads
Description : Read Now Risk Assessment And Decision Analysis With Bayesian Networks by Norman Fenton and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. although many bayesian network (bn) applications are now in everyday use, bns have not yet achieved mainstream penetration. focusing on practical real-world problem solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, risk assessment and decision analysis with bayesian networks explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (bayesian) causal models of risk that provide powerful insights and better decision making. provides all tools necessary to build and run realistic bayesian network models supplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, and more introduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as needed the book first establishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using bn models, then goes into the detailed applications. the underlying bn algorithms appear in appendices rather than the main text since there is no need to understand them to build and use bn models. keeping the body of the text free of intimidating mathematics, the book provides pragmatic advice about model building to ensure models are built efficiently. a dedicated website, www.bayesianrisk.com, contains executable versions of all of the models described, exercises and worked solutions for all chapters, powerpoint slides, numerous other resources, and a free downloadable copy of the agenarisk software.

Risk Analysis Foundations, Models, and Methods

Download Risk Analysis Foundations Models And Methods Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File

Author by : Louis Anthony Cox Jr.
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 556
Isbn : 1461508479
Identifier : 9781461508472
Release : 2012-12-06
Publisher by : Springer Science & Business Media
Category : Business & Economics
Ads
Description : Read Now Risk Analysis Foundations Models And Methods by Louis Anthony Cox Jr. and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. risk analysis: foundations, models, and methods fully addresses the questions of "what is health risk analysis?" and "how can its potentialities be developed to be most valuable to public health decision-makers and other health risk managers?" risk analysis provides methods and principles for answering these questions. it is divided into methods for assessing, communicating, and managing health risks. risk assessment quantitatively estimates the health risks to individuals and to groups from hazardous exposures and from the decisions or activities that create them. it applies specialized models and methods to quantify likely exposures and their resulting health risks. its goal is to produce information to improve decisions. it does this by relating alternative decisions to their probable consequences and by identifying those decisions that make preferred outcomes more likely. health risk assessment draws on explicit engineering, biomathematical, and statistical consequence models to describe or simulate the causal relations between actions and their probable effects on health. risk communication characterizes and presents information about health risks and uncertainties to decision-makers and stakeholders. risk management applies principles for choosing among alternative decision alternatives or actions that affect exposure, health risks, or their consequences.

Author by : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science, Space, and Technology (2011). Subcommittee on Environment
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 343
Isbn :
Identifier : MINN:31951D03773094Y
Release : 2014
Publisher by : no defined
Category : Environmental sciences
Ads
Description : Read Now Ensuring Open Science At Epa by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science, Space, and Technology (2011). Subcommittee on Environment and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account.

Improving Risk Analysis

Download Improving Risk Analysis Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File

Author by : Louis Anthony Cox Jr.
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 386
Isbn : 1461460581
Identifier : 9781461460589
Release : 2013-02-03
Publisher by : Springer Science & Business Media
Category : Business & Economics
Ads
Description : Read Now Improving Risk Analysis by Louis Anthony Cox Jr. and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. improving risk analysis shows how to better assess and manage uncertain risks when the consequences of alternative actions are in doubt. the constructive methods of causal analysis and risk modeling presented in this monograph will enable to better understand uncertain risks and decide how to manage them. the book is divided into three parts. parts 1 shows how high-quality risk analysis can improve the clarity and effectiveness of individual, community, and enterprise decisions when the consequences of different choices are uncertain. part 2 discusses social decisions. part 3 illustrates these methods and models, showing how to apply them to health effects of particulate air pollution. "tony cox’s new book addresses what risk analysts and policy makers most need to know: how to find out what causes what, and how to quantify the practical differences that changes in risk management practices would make. the constructive methods in improving risk analysis will be invaluable in helping practitioners to deliver more useful insights to inform high-stakes decisions and policy,in areas ranging from disaster planning to counter-terrorism investments to enterprise risk management to air pollution abatement policies. better risk management is possible and practicable; improving risk analysis explains how." elisabeth pate-cornell, stanford university "improving risk analysis offers crucial advice for moving policy-relevant risk analyses towards more defensible, causally-based methods. tony cox draws on his extensive experience to offer sound advice and insights that will be invaluable to both policy makers and analysts in strengthening the foundations for important risk analyses. this much-needed book should be required reading for policy makers and policy analysts confronting uncertain risks and seeking more trustworthy risk analyses." seth guikema, johns hopkins university "tony cox has been a trail blazer in quantitative risk analysis, and his new book gives readers the knowledge and tools needed to cut through the complexity and advocacy inherent in risk analysis. cox’s careful exposition is detailed and thorough, yet accessible to non-technical readers interested in understanding uncertain risks and the outcomes associated with different mitigation actions. improving risk analysis should be required reading for public officials responsible for making policy decisions about how best to protect public health and safety in an uncertain world." susan e. dudley, george washington university

Performance Management for Different Employee Groups A Contribution to Employment Systems Theory

Download Performance Management For Different Employee Groups Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File

Author by : Achim Krausert
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 355
Isbn : 9783790821970
Identifier : 3790821977
Release : 2009-08-27
Publisher by : Springer Science & Business Media
Category : Business & Economics
Ads
Description : Read Now Performance Management For Different Employee Groups by Achim Krausert and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. manage managers based on competencies and informal networks – set task-based output goals for professional specialists – control temporary workers at the agency level – ensure that contractors are managed effectively as part of boundary-crossing networks. this book provides a framework of analysis to capture and explain differences in employment systems. taking account of the wealth of research in the field, it provides a sound basis for developing function-specific performance management systems, integrating aspects such as incentivization, multi-source appraisal, and accountability. from macro to micro approaches of hrm, the contents will be of value to researchers on employment systems, strategic hrm, and occupational psychology and to practitioners of hrm and organizational development. achim krausert has been a consultant in the performance management group of accenture, u.k. he obtained his d.b.a. from the university of mannheim, germany, and an m.sc. and a b.sc. from the london school of economics.

New Risks: Issues and Management

Download New Risks Issues And Management Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File

Author by : Louis A. Cox
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 716
Isbn : 9780306435379
Identifier : 0306435373
Release : 1990-09-30
Publisher by : Springer Science & Business Media
Category : Medical
Ads
Description : Read Now New Risks Issues And Management by Louis A. Cox and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. this volume contains the proceedings of the 1986 annual meeting and conference of the society for risk analysis. it provides a detailed view of both mature disciplines and emerging areas within the fields of health, safety, and environmental risk analysis as they existed in 1986. in selecting and organizing topics for this conference, we sought both (i) to identify and include new ideas and application areas that would be of lasting interest to risk analysts and to users of risk analysis results, and (ii) to include innovative methods and applications in established areas of risk analysis. in the three years since the conference, many of the topics presented there for the first time to a broad risk analysis audience have become well developed-and sometimes hotly debated-areas of applied risk research. several, such as the public health hazards from indoor air pollutants, radon in the home, high-voltage electric fields, and the aids epidemic, have been the subjects of headlines since 1986. older areas, such as hazardous waste site ranking and remediation, air emissions dispersion modeling and exposure assessment, transportation safety, seismic and nuclear risk assessment, and occupational safety in the chemical industry, have continued to receive new treatments and to benefit from advances in quantitative risk assessment methods, as documented in the theoretical and methodological papers in this volume. a theme of the meeting was the importance of new technologies and the new and uncertain risks that they create.

Modeling Risk Applying Monte Carlo Simulation, Real Options Analysis, Forecasting, and Optimization Techniques

Download Modeling Risk Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File

Author by : Johnathan Mun
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 480
Isbn : 0470009772
Identifier : 9780470009772
Release : 2006-07-21
Publisher by : John Wiley & Sons
Category : Business & Economics
Ads
Description : Read Now Modeling Risk by Johnathan Mun and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. this completely revised and updated edition of applied risk analysis includes new case studies in modeling risk and uncertainty as well as a new risk analysis cd-rom prepared by dr. mun. on the cd-rom you'll find his risk simulator and real options super lattice solver software as well as many useful spreadsheet models. "johnathan mun's book is a sparkling jewel in my finance library. mun demonstrates a deep understanding of the underlying mathematical theory in his ability to reduce complex concepts to lucid explanations and applications. for this reason, he's my favorite writer in this field." —janet tavakoli, president, tavakoli structured finance, inc. and author of collateralized debt obligations and structured finance "a must-read for product portfolio managers . . . it captures the risk exposure of strategic investments, and provides management with estimates of potential outcomes and options for risk mitigation." —rafael e. gutierrez, executive director of strategic marketing and planning, seagate technology, inc. "once again, dr. mun has created a 'must-have, must-read' book for anyone interested in the practical application of risk analysis. other books speak in academic generalities, or focus on one area of risk application. [this book] gets to the heart of the matter with applications for every area of risk analysis. you have a real option to buy almost any book?you should exercise your option and get this one!" —glenn kautt, mba, cfp, ea, president and chairman, the monitor group, inc. note: cd-rom/dvd and other supplementary materials are not included as part of ebook file.

Guidelines for carcinogen risk assessment

Download Guidelines For Carcinogen Risk Assessment Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File

Author by : no defined
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 233
Isbn : 1428904565
Identifier : 9781428904569
Release :
Publisher by : DIANE Publishing
Category :
Ads
Description : Read Now Guidelines For Carcinogen Risk Assessment by no defined and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account.

Cancer Risk Assessment Chemical Carcinogenesis, Hazard Evaluation, and Risk Quantification

Download Cancer Risk Assessment Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File

Author by : Ching-Hung Hsu
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 856
Isbn : 9781118035122
Identifier : 1118035127
Release : 2010-12-08
Publisher by : John Wiley & Sons
Category : Science
Ads
Description : Read Now Cancer Risk Assessment by Ching-Hung Hsu and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account. with a weight-of-the-evidence approach, cancer risk assessment indentifies hazards, determines dose-response relationships, and assesses exposure to characterize the true risk. this book focuses on the quantitative methods for conducting chemical cancer risk assessments for solvents, metals, mixtures, and nanoparticles. it links these to the basic toxicology and biology of cancer, along with the impacts on regulatory guidelines and standards. by providing insightful perspective, cancer risk assessment helps researchers develop a discriminate eye when it comes to interpreting data accurately and separating relevant information from erroneous.

Quality Control and Applied Statistics

Download Quality Control And Applied Statistics Book or Ebook File with PDF Epub Audio and Full format File

Author by : no defined
Languange Used : English, France, Spanish, Italia and chinese
Page : 233
Isbn :
Identifier : UOM:39076006957901
Release : 1970
Publisher by : no defined
Category : Operations research
Ads
Description : Read Now Quality Control And Applied Statistics by no defined and you can download with pub, pdf, txt, doc, and more file format with free account.